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Opis Predicting the overall orbit and position of Asbolus beyond a few thousand years is difficult because of errors in the known trajectory, error amplification by perturbations due to all of the gas giants, and the possibility of perturbation as a result of cometary outgassing/fragmentation. This plot shows the variation of the semi-major axis of the unstable Centaur 8405 Asbolus during the next 5500 years, computed using the current Astorb elements (black trace) and AstDys elements (red). The "jumps" correspond to relatively close approaches to Jupiter or Saturn, that you can check using the "spatial approaches" function of Solex, setting the limit distance to 450000 (3AU). The first large decrease corresponds to two successive approaches to Jupiter and Saturn (April 2377 and May 2379, respectively) adding up coherently their effects. Compared to centaur Nessus, the orbit of Asbolus is currently much more chaotic: you can see that after the Jupiter encounter of year 4713 (27 Cy in the future) the two orbits become substantially divergent.
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Izvor Aldo Vitagliano's Solex 10 website
Autor Aldo Vitagliano
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Datum/vrijeme Dimenzije Korisnik Komentar
2 maj 2009, 04:23:58 1342 × 940 (25948 bytes) Kheider (razgovor · doprinosi) {{Information |Description = Predicting the overall orbit and position of [[:en:8405 Asbolus|Asbolus]] beyond a few thousands is difficult because of errors in the known [[:en:trajectory|trajectory]], error amplification by [[:en:Perturbation (astronomy)|

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trenutno21:29, 9 oktobar 2018Smanjeni pregled verzije na dan 21:29, 9 oktobar 20181.200 × 900 (17 KB)User-duckCropped closer using CropTool with precise mode.
14:44, 18 august 2014Smanjeni pregled verzije na dan 14:44, 18 august 20141.342 × 940 (15 KB)GifTaggerBot: Converting file to superior PNG file. (Source: AsbolA.GIF). This GIF was problematic due to non-greyscale color table.

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